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“They will likely launch a ground offensive on or around Severodonetsk in the coming days,” the institute said in its latest report.
“The relative success of Russian operations in this area combined with their failure to advance from Izyum and the notable decline in the energy of that attempted advance suggests that they may be giving up on the Izyum axis,” the report said.
Even if Russian forces concentrate their efforts on that much-reduced goal, it is doubtful if they will be able to encircle, let alone take, Severodonetsk and Lysychansk.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counteroffensive in and around Kharkiv is pushing the Russian leadership to make difficult decisions, as was likely planned.
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