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Election 2024 Senate California
Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., speaks to supporters at the headquarters of the advocacy group, the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights of Los Angeles, Feb. 17, 2024. The possibility of record-low turnout in California’s U.S. Senate race is elevating the chances of Republican former baseball star Steve Garvey to advance to the general election in November. The Democratic side has been dominated for months by Schiff, who has been leading the crowded field in fundraising and polling for the seat once held by the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein. (AP Photo/Michael R. Blood)

California’s Senate primary could fell two prominent Democrats and elevate Republican Steve Garvey

California’s Senate race was expected to be a three-way Democratic prizefight this year

By MICHAEL R. BLOOD
Published - Feb 25, 2024, 07:30 AM ET
Last Updated - Feb 25, 2024, 07:30 AM EST

LOS ANGELES (AP) — California’s Senate race was expected to be a three-way Democratic prizefight, but the possibility of a record-low turnout is elevating the chances of Republican Steve Garvey, a former baseball star, and could derail the congressional careers of two prominent progressives.

In a year headlined by a likely presidential rematch that many Americans are dreading, California voters thus far have been sluggish to return mail-in ballots that were sent to 22 million homes earlier this month. The relative trickle of ballots has tended to come from older, white, conservative-leaning homeowners, a sweet spot for Republicans such as Garvey, a one-time National League MVP who played for the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres.

For months, Rep. Adam Schiff has had the fundraising and polling edge in a crowded Democratic field. Garvey's ascent has imperiled the political prospects of Reps. Barbara Lee and Katie Porter. The top two finishers in the March 5 contest, regardless of party, advance to the general election in November in the liberal-leaning state.

“We’re at a real risk of losing,” Porter’s campaign warned in fundraising emails. Without more financial support, the plea went, “Katie is out of Congress for good.”

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