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Election 2024-AP VoteCast-Key Groups
FILE - A voter deposits his voting machine activation card into a box after casting his ballot at a polling site at Henderson City Hall Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Henderson, Nev. (Steve Marcus/Las Vegas Sun via AP, File)

AP VoteCast: How Donald Trump built a winning 2024 coalition

Big shifts with small groups and small shifts with big groups helped return Donald Trump to the White House

By LINLEY SANDERS
Published - Nov 08, 2024, 09:25 AM ET
Last Updated - Dec 16, 2024, 05:33 PM EST

WASHINGTON (AP) — Big shifts within small groups and small shifts within big groups helped propel Donald Trump's return to the White House.

The Republican candidate won by holding onto his traditional coalition — white voters, voters without a college degree and older voters — while making crucial gains among younger voters and Black and Hispanic men, according to AP VoteCast, a far-reaching survey of more than 120,000 voters nationwide.

His Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, made small gains — most significantly with white men with a college degree living in urban areas — but it was not enough to offset her losses elsewhere.

Trump increased his share of the youth vote
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